The highs and lows of Pro Bowl player props

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The Action Network’s NFL experts, two of the best player projectors in the industry, broke down their favorite props on PrizePicks on the FantasyFlex Podcast.

Koerner’s two favorites

Jonathan Taylor under 12.5 receiving yards: In the past two Pro Bowls, each team has only had one running back clear 1.5 receptions. That essentially means each running back has about a 33 percent chance of clearing 12.5 receiving yards.

For the AFC, I think Najee Harris would be the most likely back to clear it, making me like the Under on Taylor. Based on the charity incentives given to the player with the most rushing yards, the AFC will instead likely focus on Taylor getting direct handoffs. I project him closer to five or six carries with maybe one reception.

CeeDee Lamb
CeeDee Lamb
USA TODAY Sports

CeeDee Lamb under 3.5 catches: In the past two Pro Bowls, 6 of 16 wide receivers have cleared 3.5 receptions. I’m projecting both teams to have fewer passing yards than in years past based on the charity rushing incentives — 270-285 yards instead of 300.
Lamb will compete for targets with Deebo Samuel, Justin Jefferson, Mike Evans, George Kittle and Kyle Pitts. I project him closer to three receptions.

Raybon’s two favorites

Diontae Johnson over 36.5 receiving yards: Johnson can show people what he’s about at this Pro Bowl. He’s been strapped with bad quarterback play from Ben Roethlisberger. We’ve seen Johnson get open down the field and get a lot of separation. With a quarterback like Justin Herbert, Johnson could hit this on just one catch.

Kyle Pitts over 38.5 receiving yards: This checks all the boxes for me. There are just two tight ends on each team, and one has to be on the field. Kittle is coming off an emotional playoff run, and Pitts has been resting and will want to show out for his rookie Pro Bowl.

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